Sensitivity Analysis¶
Sensitivity analysis quantifies how conclusions change when key assumptions are relaxed, especially unobserved confounding.
What it gives you¶
- A range of plausible policy values instead of a single point.
- A way to report robustness to hidden bias.
When to use it¶
- You cannot guarantee sequential ignorability.
- Overlap is weak or behavior logging is noisy.
Practical guidance¶
- Report both the point estimate and the sensitivity bounds.
- Be explicit about the sensitivity parameter and its meaning.
- Use the
SensitivityPolicyValueEstimandto make the model explicit. - Use synthetic benchmarks to build intuition before real data.